Forecasting and Sources of Repayment

Course Overview

The purpose of the course is to move forecasting from a number massaging exercise into the creation of a “Most Likely Case” scenario based upon the integration of industry, business strategy, management and historical performance analysis. Using extensive case studies, the course introduces the concept of a most likely case within a range of probable performance scenarios. The course builds the skills necessary to identify and to assess the sources of repayment and to create sensitivity forecasts that incorporate risk analysis.

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Learning Objectives

• Understand the purposes of different types of forecast scenarios.
• Integrate credit risk analysis into scenario development.
• Correctly identify primary and secondary sources of repayment of the forecast.

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Target Audience

All commercial lenders responsible for structuring, underwriting and managing commercial credit risk. The course is designed for individuals familiar with the fundamentals of industry analysis, financial accounting, financial statement analysis and cash flow analysis.

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